Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
