Elche will be flying after back-to-back wins, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level, so we are finding it difficult to back them to lose here. Draws have been common between these two sides in recent meetings, and we are backing another stalemate on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
