Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
