Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
