This is a very tricky encounter for Barcelona, with Osasuna more than capable of causing problems at Camp Nou. The away side will also be the fresher of the two teams on Sunday, but we still believe that Barcelona will have enough quality to secure another important three points in La Liga.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.21%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
