Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 64.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 14.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.