Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 14.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.