Mallorca have proved difficult to beat in recent weeks, drawing plenty of matches, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting Simeone's side to pick up another important three points in pursuit of Real Madrid.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
