Atletico desperately need to return to winning ways after the loss to Barcelona last time out, and we are expecting the home side to triumph. Getafe have not travelled well this season and could suffer their seventh away La Liga defeat of the campaign at Wanda Metropolitano.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.85%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.59%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
