Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.