Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.77%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
