Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
