Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
