Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
0.25) 
-0.12) 
