Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.
