Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
