Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
