Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.
