Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
