Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Consadole Sapporo in this match.
