SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 38 | 2 | 49 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 38 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 | Gamba Osaka | 39 | -17 | 44 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 48.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
24.81% ( 0.01) | 26.63% ( 0) | 48.56% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
