Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
