SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Gambia |
53.51% ( -0.03) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0.01) | 66.61% ( 0.01) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.01) | 16.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.79% ( -0.03) | 46.21% ( 0.03) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( 0.02) | 32.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.58% ( 0.02) | 69.42% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Gambia |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.51% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
