SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Colombia win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Colombia |
42.06% ( 0) | 23.93% ( -0) | 34.01% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.01) | 41.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.01) | 63.43% ( -0.01) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( 0) | 19.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.19% ( 0.01) | 51.81% ( -0.01) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0) | 23.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( 0.01) | 57.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Colombia |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.12% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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