Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Nepal win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%).