MX23RW : Thursday, November 17 21:41:26
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May 29, 2022 at 1.08am UK at AT&T Stadium
Mexico
2 - 1
Nigeria
Gimenez (12'), Troost-Ekong (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dessers (54')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mexico 1-1 Nigeria

Still grieving from their World Cup qualifiers disappointment, Nigeria will be looking to restore some pride in this one. However, they face a rampant Mexico side who are unbeaten in eight straight games since last November. We anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts and settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawNigeria
46.36% (0.044999999999995 0.04) 28.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.23% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03)26.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.72% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05% (-0.026 -0.03)76.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 46.36%
    Nigeria 25.6%
    Draw 28.03%
MexicoDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 14.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 25.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Guatemala
Thursday, April 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 El Salvador
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Honduras 0-1 Mexico
Monday, March 28 at 12.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 USA
Friday, March 25 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Thursday, February 3 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, January 30 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Ghana
Tuesday, March 29 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Ghana 0-0 Nigeria
Friday, March 25 at 7.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Tunisia
Sunday, January 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-2 Nigeria
Wednesday, January 19 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 3-1 Sudan
Saturday, January 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Egypt
Tuesday, January 11 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
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