Ethiopia
1 - 1
Lesotho

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Ethiopia and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ethiopia

Last Six:

Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Lesotho
41.99%	23.49%	34.52%

Both teams to score 62.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23%

38.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92%

61.08%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69%

50.31%

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56%

22.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.03%

55.97%

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 41.99%

Lesotho 34.52%

Draw 23.48%

Ethiopia	Draw	Lesotho
2-1 @ 8.8% 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.48% Total : 41.99%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.35% Total : 34.52%