Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lamia win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lamia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
