Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 62.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.22%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.89%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.