Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
