Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
