Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
