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Leicester vs. Everton: 22 hrs 24 mins
MC
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
FL
Man City
4 - 1
Fulham
Gundogan (6'), Stones (13'), Mahrez (53' pen., 57')
Walker (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)

We said: Manchester City 3-1 Fulham

Fulham have a taste for goals, Carvalho's rapid rise is showing no signs of showing down, and Mitrovic continues to be unplayable. Those factors may lead to optimism within the Craven Cottage ranks that a famous result at the Etihad is calling. Silva ought to put out the strongest side possible amid his side's Championship title charge, but a refreshed Man City outfit and their abundance of attacking talent should still prove too strong for the Cottagers' backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawFulham
57.71%22.11%20.18%
Both teams to score 54.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.37%43.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97%66.02%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.14%14.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.81%43.18%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48%35.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.72%72.28%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 57.71%
    Fulham 20.18%
    Draw 22.1%
Manchester CityDrawFulham
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.59%
3-1 @ 6.31%
3-0 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.71%
1-1 @ 10.41%
0-0 @ 5.28%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.1%
0-1 @ 5.46%
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 20.18%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32244484305476
2Arsenal33236478384075
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd32196749391063
5Liverpool33168965422356
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs34166126357654
7Aston Villa34166124642454
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31157961402152
9Brentford34121485244850
10Fulham33136144545045
11Crystal Palace341010143545-1040
12Chelsea32109133035-539
13Bournemouth34116173664-2839
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34107172950-2137
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3397173747-1034
16Leeds UnitedLeeds3479184367-2430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
18Leicester CityLeicester3385204457-1329
19Everton33610172550-2528
20Southampton3466222860-3224
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