Liverpool 3-1 Cardiff City - FA Cup Fourth Round - Football

A raft of players out either injured or ineligible makes this an even more daunting encounter than Cardiff would have initially anticipated, and Morison will not be expecting miracles on the Anfield turf. Klopp will certainly shuffle the pack himself, but even in the absence of Salah, Mane and Diaz, we can only envisage the more experienced Reds advancing comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Cardiff City
77.1%	14.83%	8.06%

Both teams to score 45.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58%

60.42%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.85%

8.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.43%

28.57%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.58%

50.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05%

84.94%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 77.09%

Cardiff City 8.06%

Draw 14.83%

Liverpool	Draw	Cardiff City
2-0 @ 12.91% 3-0 @ 10.79% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 6.77% 4-1 @ 4.64% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-0 @ 1.42% 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.21% Total : 77.09%	1-1 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 4.11% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.83%	0-1 @ 2.81% 1-2 @ 2.42% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 8.06%

Head to Head

Liverpool injury, suspension list vs. Cardiff

Klopp hints Diaz will not be involved against Cardiff

Klopp: 'Harvey Elliott will be in the squad against Cardiff'

Klopp provides Thiago, Origi update ahead of Cardiff clash

How Liverpool could line up against Cardiff

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11

Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Leeds United Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester City Leicester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Manchester City Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Manchester United Man Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0