Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hayes & Yeading had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Hayes & Yeading win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
