Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
