Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 61.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Guiseley win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
