Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for AFC Sudbury had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an AFC Sudbury win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
