Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 43%. A win for France had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.3%) and 1-3 (5.28%). The likeliest France win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
