We said: Sturm Graz 0-2 Monaco
With both managers likely to make widespread changes, this is a difficult contest to call. Nevertheless, Monaco will want to go through the group unbeaten, potentially leading to an extra edge in the final third.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.48%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
