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RL
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Ibrox Stadium
Rangers
2 - 0
Sparta Prague
Morelos (15', 49')
Hagi (45'), Barisic (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: Rangers 2-1 Sparta Prague

Both teams can seal their place in the last 32 of the Europa League with a victory on Thursday; however, a draw would be more beneficial to the visitors who have the better head-to-head record as things stand. With a new manager at the helm for a European night under the lights at Ibrox, the home supporters will act as a 12th man for Rangers, which could help to get them over the line and secure a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
RangersDrawSparta Prague
61.47%21.17%17.36%
Both teams to score 52.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16%43.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77%66.22%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25%13.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97%41.03%
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27%38.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54%75.46%
Score Analysis
    Rangers 61.46%
    Sparta Prague 17.36%
    Draw 21.17%
RangersDrawSparta Prague
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 6.58%
4-0 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 1.37%
5-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.46%
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 5.32%
2-2 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.17%
0-1 @ 5.05%
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 17.36%

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