Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
