Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
