Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
