Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.