Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.86%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
