Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
