MX23RW : Wednesday, July 6 06:28:06
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Aug 26, 2021 at 7.15pm UK at AFAS Stadion
AZ
2 - 1
Celtic
Aboukhlal (6'), Starfelt (26' og.)
Aboukhlal (39'), Koopmeiners (66'), Gudmundsson (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Furuhashi (3')
McGregor (58'), Montgomery (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawCeltic
41.17%23.4%35.43%
Both teams to score 63.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86%38.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59%60.41%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05%18.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54%50.46%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 41.17%
    Celtic 35.43%
    Draw 23.4%
AZ AlkmaarDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-2 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.43%

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