Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
