MX23RW : Thursday, August 11 20:11:04
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Nov 4, 2021 at 5.45pm UK at Slavutych Arena
Luhansk
2 - 0
CSKA Sofia
Zahedi (87'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
Vernydub (56'), Snurnitsyn (70'), Zahedi (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mladenov (62')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Zorya Luhansk and CSKA Sofia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawCSKA Sofia
46.14%23.92%29.94%
Both teams to score 59.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.34%42.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.93%65.07%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31%18.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.96%50.04%
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95%27.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59%62.41%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 46.14%
    CSKA Sofia 29.94%
    Draw 23.92%
Zorya LuhanskDrawCSKA Sofia
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 46.14%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-1 @ 6.61%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.94%

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